Our pal Phil Steele gives his bowl projections here:

Here is how we see it:

Rose: Penn State (Big 10) vs SoCal (Pac-10)

Orange: Miami (ACC) vs Ohio St (or Boise) (at-large)

Sugar: Bama (at-large) vs Cincinnati(Big-east)

Fiesta: Oklahoma (at-large) vs Utah (non-bcs-at-large)

BCSCG: Florida (SEC) vs Texas (Big 12)


This is contingent on Oklahoma beating TT Saturday. If Oregon State wins out, they go to the Rose, Southern Cal goes elsewhere and Ohio State (Boise) gets dropped.


So what about the Dawgs?
-They are a near lock for the Capital One Bowl.

-If Penn State beats Michigan State this weekend, Michigan State would be the likely opponent.

-If Michigan State beats Penn State...the Dawgs could play Penn State or Ohio State depending on what Oregon State does (unless a BCS bowl would dare take a 2 loss Penn State team over a 2 loss Michigan State team that just beat Penn State).....got that?



What would a playoff look like under these bowl projections? It could look like this....

1st round

1 Texas vs 8 Cincy
2 Florida vs 7 Miami
3 Oklahoma vs 6 Utah
4 SoCal vs 5 Bama

2nd round

1 Texas vs 4 SoCal
2 Florida vs 3 Oklahoma

Championship:
4 SoCal vs 2 Florida